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Market Insights: Brazilian Coffee Exports to Europe - Challenges Create New Opportunities

  • Writer: paul McCullough
    paul McCullough
  • 3 days ago
  • 2 min read
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Brazilian coffee exports to Europe have recently faced a series of significant changes, but for savvy buyers and brokers, these shifts are opening new doors and reinforcing Europe’s position as a central hub for high-quality coffee flows.


Despite global headwinds, the fundamentals for trading remain highly encouraging. European demand continues to drive robust shipments of Brazilian coffee, even as weather-related challenges in Brazil and policy shifts in the US create market volatility. The real story? Prices are rising, and the European market stands to benefit as exporters redirect flows from more challenging markets.


Positive Pricing Signals and Strong European Demand


In the first nine months of 2025, Brazil exported 29.1 million bags of coffee, down 20.5% on the previous year, but, thanks to a competitive, strengthening market, earned a remarkable 30% more revenue, totaling $11.05 billion. This demonstrates that quality-backed supply from Brazil continues to command a premium, and European buyers (especially in Germany and Italy) remain steadfast in sourcing.


Unpredictable weather, particularly droughts in Brazil’s main arabica-growing regions, has tightened inventories and supported a rally on the ICE commodity exchange. For European importers and roasters, this dynamic means a reliable supply of one of the world’s most prized coffees is assured, but also that savvy buyers can leverage market relationships for prompt shipments.


Shifting Global Flows: Opportunity Knocks for Europe


Recent US tariffs (50% on Brazilian coffee imports) have dramatically reduced exports to the US and encouraged Brazilian shippers to pivot toward Europe and rapidly growing importers like China and the Middle East. With robust new support from Brazilian authorities—like a $5.55 billion export credit facility—brokers and European partners can take advantage of this reorientation, capturing portfolio diversification and accessing new lots with greater price stability.


Next Steps: Innovation and Collaboration


While global supply chains are becoming more dynamic, European importers and brokers are ideally positioned to benefit. The region’s favorable euro exchange rate, reliable logistics, and responsive trade frameworks, combined with growing direct relationships to Brazilian shippers, translate into a resilient and opportunity-filled market for the rest of 2025 and beyond.


As brokers with hands-on expertise and direct access to Brazilian supply, we see this as a moment of positive transformation, one that allows all market participants to work together, secure dependable stock, and continue delivering the very best in quality and service to clients across Europe. Contact us to inquiry about our coffee opportunities.



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